PDA

View Full Version : What new enterprises will dominate the next decade?



Michael Means Business
12-01-2009, 12:44 AM
20 years ago, the internet was non-existent, now it is necessity. Since it first started, many new business opportunities opened up. Independently run websites made millionaires out of people.

Video games, another example. Though it looked like things were going downhill for the whole industry once Atari reached it's low point, Nintendo came around and reinvented the whole industry.
Arcades were popular for such a long time, as they offered the latest, most advanced games to be played.
Now the gaming market has advanced past what they generally have to offer, and as such, the Arcade market has gone downhill.

However, what new things will we see as thriving within the next 10 years?
I'm not going to be so bold as to pick what I think will become the next household must. But here are some of my ideas:

With the newer gaming systems available, which allow for independent game developers to have their work showcased for download. I feel there will be a greater growth in independent game developers for a while, which will eventually lead to new gaming companies (Kind of like Sato and Yamazaki's dream in Welcome to the NHK.)

As technology progresses, the possibility for independent animators to flourish is also becoming more likely. Something like flash animation is often done with with cardboard like characters and repeating motion tweens. However, seeing shows such as Superjail! I've realized that profoundly well animated shows are capable of being made with this, and similar mediums.

With digital cable, many now have nearly 900+ channels. I wonder how long it will take before independently run channels will become possible. Youtube bridges such a gap now, with the vast availability that the rapid increase in technology, much is and will soon become available.

With High-Definition becoming the new standard for quality. I'm sure it won't be long before the general cable connections most of us have will dwindle out similar to that of Dial-Up, while the newly introduced faster connections will become mandatory.
The fact that gaming systems can now accesses the internet, it wouldn't surprise me if the separation between gaming systems, the internet, TV and computers merge more so than they already have.

I feel many long standing channels are at risk for being one-upped by a new network.
For instance, Nickelodeon. At one point, they took chances, even though they were a kids network, shows like Ren & Stimpy were played, and many of the kids shows they featured, adults could still enjoy. (Compare the first few seasons of Rugrats, to what they eventually became and you'll see a good example.)
If another network becomes available enough, this giant could easily have a run for it's money and need to result in some drastic measures.
The same goes for any other stagnating network.

With the US slowly sinking as a world superpower, things will no doubt become harder and harder for those of us State Side. Many major corporations have already gone under, things are uncertain, therefore better understanding such trends could help many of us in ways aside from just the Stock-Market.

Taking into account the economic crisis at hand, a contradiction to all that I've written is that the entertainment business will face some challenges, as the desire for more frugal spending could cause an increase in things that are practical, as opposed to that which could be viewed as frivolous.

What are some of your ideas?

Denamic
12-01-2009, 12:52 AM
Electronic distribution and/or streaming content.

Lord Zero
12-01-2009, 01:15 AM
Electronic distribution and/or streaming content.

Same. It could be a great oportunity for smaller companies as well. I agree with michael. Making games and programs takes time, money and good hardware.
But they are still much more easier to manufacture than say a car.

Games can be made on house as well.

Soultaker2023
12-01-2009, 02:06 AM
I was also thinking streaming. But, I was thinking along the lines of streaming games. Our internet connections will be fast enough to buy/play games directly from the company servers. We wont be able to pirate anymore, we'd need an internet connection to play even single player games. It will def. happen some day, I hope its not soon.

@Lord Zero: Yea but making a car takes like 2 hours with the assembly line and machines. Making a good game takes years.

Lord Zero
12-01-2009, 02:10 AM
I was also thinking streaming. But, I was thinking along the lines of streaming games. Our internet connections will be fast enough to buy/play games directly from the company servers. We wont be able to pirate anymore, we'd need an internet connection to play even single player games. It will def. happen some day, I hope its not soon.

@Lord Zero: Yea but making a car takes like 2 hours with the assembly line and machines. Making a good game takes years.

Yeah but while i could make a program with my home pc...
i could never own a factory, nor pay for the required materials, workers...
you should know how it goes.

So ur comment is pointless and well, not related at all to
my statement.

Michael Means Business
12-01-2009, 03:00 AM
I was also thinking streaming. But, I was thinking along the lines of streaming games. Our internet connections will be fast enough to buy/play games directly from the company servers. We wont be able to pirate anymore, we'd need an internet connection to play even single player games. It will def. happen some day, I hope its not soon.

An interesting concept, I was trying to think of ways corporations could do away with piracy given the state of the economy.
It would be somewhat harder with music though. Given the fact that, from what I understand, the sales of CD's are down, I'd imagine online downloads would soon be the way to replace CD's, as they'd be able to ask less money for the same product.
Obviously with Mininova down, and other torrent sites getting pressure, it could be harder to pirate content. Still, there always seems to be a new loophole to exploit and a new means available. Therein lies one of the biggest problems for the corporate world of the music industry.

ebattleon
12-01-2009, 03:08 AM
Algae farms the way of the future:)

Lord Zero
12-01-2009, 03:21 AM
Algae farms the way of the future:)

My country sell truckloads of algae to the japs already.

BTW i heard than snail slime is really popular as a cosmetic
ingredient as well.

Athias
12-01-2009, 03:22 AM
Google. It will definitely become more of a powerhouse in the years to come.

ebattleon
12-01-2009, 03:26 AM
My country sell truckloads of algae to the japs already.

BTW i heard than snail slime is really popular as a cosmetic
ingredient as well.

Actually i was quite serious, these singled celled plants can be used for animal feed, bio-fuel and are about 4 times as efficient as standard crops for sunlight use efficiency. They can be grown on marginal land that would not compete with traditional crops using water polluted by fertilizer runoff.

Soultaker2023
12-01-2009, 04:03 AM
Yeah but while i could make a program with my home pc...
i could never own a factory, nor pay for the required materials, workers...
you should know how it goes.

So ur comment is pointless and well, not related at all to
my statement.

Yea well, if you seek to design and create a decent video game, you'd need very expensive hardware/software/a team of artists/lots of time. I can also attach four wheels to a crate and call it a car, but if you actually want to make a good car, you'd need a shop (doesn't have to be a factory). Games can be made at home, but will anyone play them? Even those free games are designed by a team of artists.

Denamic
12-01-2009, 07:41 AM
Yea well, if you seek to design and create a decent video game, you'd need very expensive hardware/software/a team of artists/lots of time. I can also attach four wheels to a crate and call it a car, but if you actually want to make a good car, you'd need a shop (doesn't have to be a factory). Games can be made at home, but will anyone play them? Even those free games are designed by a team of artists.
Do you know anything?
Like, anything at all?
You should probably stop talking.

TannhauserGate
12-01-2009, 08:17 AM
I think Biotechnology will become quite important in the coming years.
With the advent of new technologies and the subsequent mapping of the human genome, Bio-engineering new agricultural and medical products will be more and more commonplace.

[Tangent]
Which brings up a legal trend that I think is rather disturbing.....Gene patents

A gene patent is a patent on a specific gene sequence, its usage, and often its chemical composition. Other gene patents claim processes. A single patent can contain both composition of matter claims and process claims. There is controversy over whether these patents advance technology by providing scientists, companies, and universities with an incentive to create or hinder research by creating legal uncertainty over who has proprietary rights to products and processes. Some critics also charge that the costs of licensing patents result in higher prices for genetic testing.

HISTORY
The United States has been patenting chemical compositions based upon human extractions for over 100 years. The first patent for such a chemical was granted in 1907 for adrenaline. Insulin followed adrenaline as the second patent in 1923. But prior to the 1970s it was almost unheard of to submit an application to the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) for an organism. As a rule, raw natural material is generally rejected for patent approval by the USPTO.
It is only after a DNA product is isolated, purified, or modified that a patent is considered. Over three million gene related patents have been applied for in the United States alone. All pending applications are made public at 18 months after filing unless otherwise requested by the applicant.
The Supreme Court decision in Diamond v. Chakrabarty decided certain genetically engineered bacteria were patentable because they were not naturally occurring. Since this important decision, patents have been issued on genes whose function is known.

What do you think about granting pharmacutical companies the right to patent genes?

"I think its ludicrous, and frankly a little bit frightening."

gvbn
12-01-2009, 08:27 AM
Yea well, if you seek to design and create a decent video game, you'd need very expensive hardware/software/a team of artists/lots of time. I can also attach four wheels to a crate and call it a car, but if you actually want to make a good car, you'd need a shop (doesn't have to be a factory). Games can be made at home, but will anyone play them? Even those free games are designed by a team of artists.
really. i can think of several games made
by just one or two persons

KuriosAkantha
12-01-2009, 10:35 AM
Yea well, if you seek to design and create a decent video game, you'd need very expensive hardware/software/a team of artists/lots of time. I can also attach four wheels to a crate and call it a car, but if you actually want to make a good car, you'd need a shop (doesn't have to be a factory). Games can be made at home, but will anyone play them? Even those free games are designed by a team of artists.

Captain Red Dots returns! Oh SHI- :evillaugh:

echoghost
12-01-2009, 10:45 AM
See, I think the biggest thing is that we can't really predict it just yet. I think what will happen is something new will come out in web development taking internet interactions with our daily lives even further than they already are. I think people want their computers and their stuff they have to look more like what they see in the movies - and we aren't just there yet, we're close. I think that will be a big part, obviously. I think that Google will continue to grow and be big, and that Microsoft will go through some more rebirthing processes (as if it hasn't done a lot already) that way they can have a better foot on the mobile market than Windows Mobile (not that it isn't big, but Apple is giving everybody a run for their money).

I also think that the auto market will be pretty big, especially since people more and more are turning to go green more and more, and something that is relatively okay on gas milage. Also, people want to live longer, so the pharmaceutical market might do well - especially with all the talks on Health Care going on in America, there will be a lot of money potentially put into that market.

Soultaker2023
12-01-2009, 01:09 PM
really. i can think of several games made
by just one or two persons

Were they made a really long time ago?

ebattleon
12-01-2009, 01:15 PM
Yea well, if you seek to design and create a decent video game, you'd need very expensive hardware/software/a team of artists/lots of time. I can also attach four wheels to a crate and call it a car, but if you actually want to make a good car, you'd need a shop (doesn't have to be a factory). Games can be made at home, but will anyone play them? Even those free games are designed by a team of artists.

There are also a lot of decent game ports such as tremulous that started from the efforts of one. What you are not looking at is you and pull a really diverse group of people that can make really great game with out having to have a building to do it in.

Hayeate
12-01-2009, 01:38 PM
Homebrewed moonshine

ebattleon
12-01-2009, 01:43 PM
Homebrewed moonshine

Oh man that's an current industry, now if you said home grown cannabis I be inclined to support that.

psychopompos
12-01-2009, 02:15 PM
http://letsgoviral.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/google-skynet.png
google brand robots.:sick:

ebattleon
12-01-2009, 02:21 PM
http://letsgoviral.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/google-skynet.png
google brand robots.:sick:

Now that would be truly scary.....:sick:

worudqw
12-01-2009, 03:52 PM
Now that would be truly scary.....:sick:

Tell me about it....SkyNet haha. Except I'd like it so that machines don't get to raep us like it did in the movie...

Alupihan
12-01-2009, 04:12 PM
environment friendly/cost reducing consumer electronics

yep, those earth friendly refs are just one paycheck away nowadays

Temishi
12-01-2009, 05:24 PM
http://letsgoviral.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/google-skynet.png
google brand robots.:sick:
If that ever happens...@_@
But I wouldn't put it past Google to come up with something grand or buy someone else out again and dominate into the next decade.

KuriosAkantha
12-01-2009, 05:40 PM
http://letsgoviral.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/google-skynet.png
google brand robots.:sick:

Google Corporate Slogan: "Do no evil."

Skynet will ensure the safety of everyone forever.

There will be nothing to fear with Skynet watching our backs.

TannhauserGate
12-01-2009, 05:43 PM
"IM SORRY. I JUST CANT DO THAT...."
http://blogs.theage.com.au/schembri/hal9000.jpg

Alupihan
12-01-2009, 11:09 PM
"IM SORRY. I JUST CANT DO THAT...."
http://blogs.theage.com.au/schembri/hal9000.jpg

OH SNAP! THAT ONE!!!:nooo:

ProcessedCheese
12-02-2009, 12:08 AM
Facebook has infected everyone, it's going to take over the world.

Soultaker2023
12-02-2009, 12:42 AM
Facebook has infected everyone, it's going to take over the world.

Yes, Skynet will develop Facebook robots. They will go giving everyone friend requests, and taking pictures in front of the mirror.

6531597
12-02-2009, 01:13 AM
robot girlfriends/waifu/sexbots is going to be the pinnacle of RL relationships.

wildarc
12-02-2009, 01:20 AM
Obviously with Mininova down, and other torrent sites getting pressure, it could be harder to pirate content.

Minonova is down??????
http://www.mininova.org/
looks fine to me

Soultaker2023
12-02-2009, 01:29 AM
Minonova is down??????
http://www.mininova.org/
looks fine to me

Mininova is there, but they deleted all of the illegal torrents. Baiscally, all the good shti.

Lord Zero
12-02-2009, 01:50 AM
Mininova is there, but they deleted all of the illegal torrents. Baiscally, all the good shti.

Legal Mininova is as alive as a brain death subject.

Technically... yes... is working.

But in the practice his days already finished forever.

Lennart Torstenson
12-02-2009, 02:23 AM
Off the bat? Nanotechnology, biotech, new power sources to replace coal and oil, further developments in computing.. who knows, orbital manufacturing? Frankly, predictions such as these are really hard to make. I wonder whether, at the humble beginnings of the Internet, anyone has predicted that it would become nothing less than ubiquitous.

Lord Zero
12-02-2009, 03:36 AM
Off the bat? Nanotechnology, biotech, new power sources to replace coal and oil, further developments in computing.. who knows, orbital manufacturing? Frankly, predictions such as these are really hard to make. I wonder whether, at the humble beginnings of the Internet, anyone has predicted that it would become nothing less than ubiquitous.

Maybe is really truth than while the "evolution" of chemical compounds led to life, and the biological evolution led to us... we ourselves are part of
a cultural evolution.

What the future will bring ? No one knows, but a thing is certain. Reality will keep on being more fantastic than fiction.

Not even the sky is the limit.

Denamic
12-02-2009, 04:11 AM
Not even the sky is the limit.
It ceased to be the limit as of April 12, 1961.

Lennart Torstenson
12-02-2009, 04:29 AM
It ceased to be the limit as of April 12, 1961.

Indeed. Gagarin should be remembered by other people than space race enthusiasts. Although there are certain unpleasant rumors concerning the beginnings of the Soviet manned space program, namely that Gagarin wasn't the first Soviet cosmonaut, but the first Soviet cosmonaut who returned alive from space.

Soultaker2023
12-02-2009, 03:48 PM
Indeed. Gagarin should be remembered by other people than space race enthusiasts. Although there are certain unpleasant rumors concerning the beginnings of the Soviet manned space program, namely that Gagarin wasn't the first Soviet cosmonaut, but the first Soviet cosmonaut who returned alive from space.

Yey, I love it when you talk about my people =D

Lennart Torstenson
12-02-2009, 07:47 PM
Well, like I said, these are rumors, although knowing the attitude of past Soviet rulers, I wouldn't be too surprised. They never had qualms about sacrificing citizens to a "greater cause". I hope you are not offended, but of that, there are ample proofs.

wantek
12-02-2009, 08:25 PM
robot girlfriends/waifu/sexbots is going to be the pinnacle of RL relationships.

LOL, no matter what happen anything sex related industries always have a bright future, dontcha think??:payup:

Michael Means Business
12-02-2009, 10:36 PM
LOL, no matter what happen anything sex related industries always have a bright future, dontcha think??:payup:

She certainly thinks so:

http://i929.photobucket.com/albums/ad136/Michael_Means_Business/w_n_01.jpg?t=1259822177

Lennart Torstenson
12-02-2009, 11:41 PM
She's right. And that's a rule not only in Japan. DVD boom would not be possible without the porn industry, and as far as I am aware of, recent victory of Blu-Ray standard over HD-DVD was also dictated by increased adoption by XXX movie producers.

Michael Means Business
12-03-2009, 12:50 AM
She's right. And that's a rule not only in Japan. DVD boom would not be possible without the porn industry, and as far as I am aware of, recent victory of Blu-Ray standard over HD-DVD was also dictated by increased adoption by XXX movie producers.

There are a number of problems I feel can influence the porn industry. Though I've not taken the time to study the numbers associated with sales and such.
The internet brings much free porn to virtually everyone. With this, it would seem the articles featured in such magazines as Playboy serve to boost sales more so than the nudes.

In regards to Hentai, due to the general disinterest displayed by the American public, as well as the judgment factors, it's not often one will come across Hentai in substantial quantity, though I will cite FYE as having an abundance for whatever reason.
Hentai has a negative stigma here, more so than regular porn. To continue this problem is that of Lolicon, which I've never seen anywhere for sale in the US. Hell, even Kodomo No Jikan got pulled from being released stateside thanks to the vulturous media the US houses.
Lolicon in particular is now being made illegal in much of Europe, which will continue to make many sites (DA for example) ever consider allowing such things on their sites.

With Blu-Ray, I feel it will have to offer even more than just high-definition, the bonus features will have to go beyond that of DVD to make reasonable sales given today's economy. Though I am certain, even though Americans are becoming more frugal, the market is aware of this, and will not fail to disappoint it's public with many new features.

Though in regard to the image I posted, despite sounding like a nerd, I wouldn't actually mind having that. Not for humping and such, I just think it would be an awesome site to wake up next to.

Soultaker2023
12-04-2009, 04:28 PM
There are a number of problems I feel can influence the porn industry. Though I've not taken the time to study the numbers associated with sales and such.
The internet brings much free porn to virtually everyone. With this, it would seem the articles featured in such magazines as Playboy serve to boost sales more so than the nudes.

In regards to Hentai, due to the general disinterest displayed by the American public, as well as the judgment factors, it's not often one will come across Hentai in substantial quantity, though I will cite FYE as having an abundance for whatever reason.
Hentai has a negative stigma here, more so than regular porn. To continue this problem is that of Lolicon, which I've never seen anywhere for sale in the US. Hell, even Kodomo No Jikan got pulled from being released stateside thanks to the vulturous media the US houses.
Lolicon in particular is now being made illegal in much of Europe, which will continue to make many sites (DA for example) ever consider allowing such things on their sites.

With Blu-Ray, I feel it will have to offer even more than just high-definition, the bonus features will have to go beyond that of DVD to make reasonable sales given today's economy. Though I am certain, even though Americans are becoming more frugal, the market is aware of this, and will not fail to disappoint it's public with many new features.

Though in regard to the image I posted, despite sounding like a nerd, I wouldn't actually mind having that. Not for humping and such, I just think it would be an awesome site to wake up next to.


Here perfect idea. We would get so good at 3d, that our models will look very much alive. We'll film a scene using motion capture, but we get to edit the "porn stars" characteristics. For example, you get to customize your porn stars cup size, rear size, ethnicity, height, tattoos, and so on. Basically, it'll be like an H game, except better.

ebattleon
12-04-2009, 05:13 PM
LOL, no matter what happen anything sex related industries always have a bright future, dontcha think??:payup:

Not if we are all dead:snicker2: